Law of (batting) averages…


The test series starts on the 26th of December and I was checking out the difference between the two teams. What better way to do than looking at the batting averages.

Here are the batting averages of the Australian team:

Name Career Against India
Ricky Ponting 59.42 in 112 tests 52.20 in 15 tests
Adam Gilchrist 49.27 in 92 tests 29.95 in 14 tests
Michael Clarke 46.70 in 29 tests 57.14 in 4 tests
Matthew Hayden 52.56 in 91 tests 62.20 in 11 tests
Michael Hussey 86.18 in 18 tests
Phil Jaques 69 in 4 tests
Andrew Symonds 32.68 in 15 tests

 

Just going by their career averages, the batsmen should yield around 395 runs and of course there is always the tail who can chip away with some useful runs(around 55 based on their average). So, if everyone play to their average, the total score per innings should be around 450.

(Going by their averages against India in recent years from S Rajesh’s column in CricInfo, Australia would end up scoring around 430)

Here is the batting average for the Indian team:

Name Career Against Australia
Wasim Jaffer 38.45 in 25 tests
Rahul Dravid 55.97 in 115 tests 51.03 in 18 tests
Saurav Ganguly 43.17 in 99 tests 32.46 in 16 tests
VVS Laxman 44.10 in 86 tests 52.03 in 16 tests
Sachin Tendulkar 55.06 in 142 tests 53.11 in 21 tests
MS Dhoni 38.76 in 22 tests
Yuvraj Singh 37.07 in 20 tests 15.66 in 2 tests

 

If this is the batting line up that goes against Australia, and if they play to their averages they would end up getting 312 runs. The average of the Indian tail (that includes Irfan Pathan with an average of 30), should be able to contribute another 67 runs. So, India could end up with a score at around 380. That is about 70 runs lower than the batting average of the Aussies!

(Based on recent scores against Australia, this figure would be around 365)

We all know that Australia is stronger than India (actually they are the strongest team in World cricket at the moment) , and the stats probably go on to prove that in one way.

But when the test match starts on Wednesday, statistics won’t count for much – it will be the performance on the field on that day that will matter the most.

Let’s just hope India put on their best performance…and hope it is good enough to beat the Aussies.

-Mahesh-

Advertisements

3 responses to “Law of (batting) averages…

  1. This is an interesting analysis. In my view, Symonds and Yuvray are bound to play better than what their averages show based on their recent form.

  2. An interesting and very well written one by our good mate Peter Roebuck.
    http://www.theage.com.au/news/cricket/an-indian-summer/2007/12/22/1198175414507.html?page=3
    It is surely going to be a scorching summer.
    My bets are on Dravid ( I did see him play in the rain curtailed Vic Vs India match. He was absolutely middling everything and Yuvaraj).
    Go India.

  3. Your style is really unique in comparison to other folks I’ve read
    stuff from. Thanks for posting when you have the opportunity, Guess I will just bookmark this site.

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s